Saturday, May 7, 2011

End of bin Ladenism: Can India do a Similar Operation Against the Other Osamatic?

          "A troublesome Crow seated herself on the back of a Sheep. The Sheep, much against his will, carried her backward and forward for a long time, and at last said, "If you had treated a dog in this way, you would have had your deserts from his sharp teeth. "To this the Crow replied, " I despise the weak, and yield to the strong. I know whom I may bully, and whom I must flatter; and thus I hope to prolong my life to a good old age".

          The month started on a very high note with news flowing all around, of the success of Operation Neptune Spear, carried out by a team of US Navy SEAL, creating ripples, sense of relief, respect, revenge, satisfaction, surprise, suspicion all around the globe. Launched from Afghanistan, the raid took place in Abbottabad Pakistan. This is perhaps the biggest hunt for a so called terrorists in the near past. Osama being found in Pakistan unwinds again some questions about the involvement in instigating as well as covering up of terrorists activities from their ground. OBL stood out not just because of his height but because of his serious conservative demeanour. According to a Taiwan man, Jimmy Wu, who says the al Qaeda leader, was a student in his judo classes in Saudi Arabia. He remebered an occasion when his wife came into the center and most of the students weren't bothered, some smiled, but Osama went to him and said, 'this is the center, and no woman should be here and registered his strong dissapproval. This was perhaps one of the earliest manifestations of his own Osamatic (a dangerous mix of lunatic and fanatic instincts) attitude.

But, there are certain mis-understandings regarding OBL, 
  • The CIA created Osama bin Laden: Common among conspiracy theorists is the notion bin Laden was a CIA creation and that the attacks of Sept. 11, 2001, were blow back from an agency operation gone awry. In fact, during the Soviet war in Afghanistan during the 1980s, the CIA had no dealings with ‘Afghan Arabs’ such as bin Laden and had few direct dealings with any of the Afghan mujaheddin. Instead, all U.S. aid to Afghanistan was funneled through Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence agency.
  • Bin Laden attacked US because of the freedom enjoyed by Americans: This is what former President George W. Bush projected nine days after Sept. 11. In an address to the US Congress, Bush said: “They hate our freedoms, our freedom of religion, our freedom of speech, our freedom to vote and assemble and disagree with each other.”Yet, in all the tens of thousands of words uttered by bin Laden, he was strangely silent about American freedoms and values. He didn’t seem to care very much about the beliefs of the ‘crusaders.’His focus was invariably on U.S. foreign policy in the Middle East.
  •  Al-Qaeda ideology has nothing to do with Islam: Bush was quite firm that al-Qaeda represented a perversion of Islam, but members of al-Qaeda firmly believe that their struggle has everything to do with the defense of what they consider true Islam. And bin Laden found ammunition in the Koran to give his war some Islamic legitimacy, often invoking the ‘Sword’ verses of the holy book, which can be interpreted as urging attacks on those who won’t submit and convert to Islam.
  •  Ayman al-Zawahiri, not bin Laden, the real brains of al-Qaeda: The conventional view is that Zawahiri, an Egyptian doctor and al-Qaeda’s longtime second in command, has been bin Laden’s ‘brain.’ But in making the most important strategic shift in al-Qaeda’s history identifying the United States as its key enemy, rather than Middle Eastern regimes bin Laden brushed aside Zawahiri’s obsessive focus on overthrowing the Egyptian government.
  • Bin Laden’s death symbolically important but irrelevant to war on terror: Many commentators have asserted in the past week that the death of bin Laden won’t make much difference to the wider jihadist movement that he helped spawn. There is some truth to that, but balanced against this are the facts that al-Qaeda was bin Laden’s creation and he was the ultimate author of the 9/11 attacks.When new recruits joined al-Qaeda, they pledged a personal oath of religious allegiance to bin Laden, rather than to the organization.Similarly, when affiliated jihadist groups have attached themselves to al-Qaeda central, as al-Qaeda in Iraq did in 2004, their leaders pledge their fealty to bin Laden personally.Bin Laden is one of the few men in recent decades who truly changed the history of the world. With him gone from the scene, there is no one of his stature and charisma to become not only the leader and strategic guide of al-Qaeda, but to inspire the group’s affiliates across the Middle East and North Africa and the wider jihadi movement around the globe.
          But, the point of concern is Pakistan, which has been confronted with a deeply unsettling question. Could the self-appointed custodians of the national interest themselves be the greatest threat to national security? Maybe they didn’t know that OBL was there in the country. Maybe they’re so daft they didn’t really take this whole business of pursuing Al Qaeda seriously. Maybe they just didn’t think it was their problem. It’s too frightening to make sense of. The world’s most-wanted terrorist. A man who triggered the longest war in American history. The terrorist mastermind the world’s only superpower has moved heaven and earth to track down. A decade of hunting. Hundreds of billions of dollars spent. The blood of countless Americans and others spilled. And when he was finally found, he was found wrapped in the bosom of the Pakistani security establishment.The establishment has flirted with irrationality in the past. Now it appears to have perfected it. If it can be safe haven for OBL then you just need the 'common' sense to figure out the presence of Dawood & Hafiz Saeed in the Pakistani soil.Can India launch a similar operation. Do we have leaders like Obama who value the lives of their citizens the most.

          His words says it all, "And yet, we know that the worst images are those that were unseen to the world. The empty seat at the dinner table. Children who were forced to grow up without their mother or their father. Parents who would never know the feeling of their child’s embrace. Three thousand citizens taken from us, leaving a gaping hole in our hearts. As a country we will never tolerate our security being threatened nor stand idly by when our people have been killed. We will be relentless in defence of our citizens and our friends and allies. We will be true to the values that make us who we are. Finally, let me say to the families who lost loved ones on 9/11, that we have never forgotten your loss, nor wavered in our commitment to see that we do whatever it takes to prevent another attacks on our shores.”

          India has lost more lives in terrorists activities than US. The country is the worst sufferer of such inhuman activities, yet we waste time on dossiers and cricket matches. If US knows the Pakistan inside out, we know better. Ultimately, the author feels its not the Navy SEAL or the modified UH-60 BlackHawks which won the game for them but its the political will to do so, the value it sees in the lives of its citizens. There is only one fact the leaders of our country should understand that, Pakistan despise India, and yields to US. Pakistan  knows whom she should bully, and whom she must flatter; and thus she hopes to prolong her life to a good old age.

Friday, April 29, 2011

Jan Lokpal : A Hawkeye Prediction

          "Rulers see through spies,
           as cows through smell,
           Brahmans through scriptures and
           rest of the people through their normal eyes."

          The words of Kautilya, the Indian philosopher of the third century BC finds more meaning now, if not then. It is highly difficult to pass a day without confronting the golden word 'Jan Lokpal'. This may be mainly attributed to the so called hype created by the 'Peoples Revolution' or the controversies surrounding the 'Bhushans' or the unstoppable VIP inflow into Tihar. But many a time we feel that the fire ignited by Anna Hazare is glowing down in its intensity
         
         There is no denying the fact that the Lokpal bill is the need of the hour; owing to our inadequate systems to handle the magnitude of the corruption observed in the recent past. The CBI has powers but is not independent (of its political masters). The CVC is independent, but it does not have sufficient powers or resources. Besides, the CVC is just an advisory body and has no powers to register a criminal case. The revolution by Anna Hazare was a great crowd puller, amply supported by the media . The story of how the government conceded all the demands of Hazare within four days of his fast must make anyone wonder whether the idiom of public protest and the character of democracy in India have transformed abruptly ( Not to forget Irom Sharmila, who has been on fast for the past 10 years demanding the repeal of the Armed Forces Special Powers Act). But, can the Lokpal alone stop the corruption?
         
          The demand for a Jan Lokpal bill will only tackle one part of the problem of corruption. It is designed to create an effective institution to check the supply of corruption and to create disincentives for corruption. The bigger part essentially requires the policy change of the corporate margins. But, the Jan Lokpal bill is highly mis-understood by the  public.The Lokpal has no judicial powers. It has the powers of investigation and initiating prosecution. The judgement will be always given by ordinary courts. Also, it will never create a superpower which will not be accountable to anybody, because the orders will be reviewable in the higher judiciary, the Lokpal is mandated to function with full transparency and finally members of the Lokpal are accountable to the Supreme court and can be removed by a five member bench.

          But. the bone of contention is not the movement or the bill. At present, its all about the smooth flow of the working of the Drafting committee. Soon after the first meeting of the JDC, a CD containing some very unsavoury bits of conversation between Mr. Mulayam Singh and Mr. Shanti Bhushan blew up in the public's face. This was followed by other accusations of undervaluation of a property for payment of stamp duty and the allotment of unusually large prime plots worth several crores in Noida. 

          A section of the society now claims that its highly outrageous that a committee meant to draft a bill demanding "unimpeachable integrity" and demonstrable resolve to fight corruption should itself consists of persons who are yet to clear  themselves of the charges levelled at them damaging their professional integrity.There is lot of substance in this argument and also the author cannot digest the idea that the duo, knew each and every punctuation mark of the bill, and therefore their presence is an absolute must. How long does it take for an experienced and knowledgeable lawyer to grip the provisions of the bill. Is the bill that complex that a Fali Nariman or Soli Sorabji may find it difficult to comprehend.
         
         A viper crushed beneath your foot but left alive, will rear up and bite you with a double dose of venom. An enemy of the anti-corruption movement (be it anybody) that is left around is like a half dead viper that you nurse back to health. Time makes the venom grow stronger.The author's appeal to Anna Hazare is that the process has started , lets complete it without giving time to the vipers in and around the society to attack back with double vengeance. The normal eye-view says that its neither the 'pro-Bhushans' nor the 'anti-Bhushans' argument that is important; the need of the hour is that of a strong Jan Lokpal bill or else the Hawk eye predicts that, the means is going to become the end yet another time!!

Wednesday, April 20, 2011

Time for India to move to the First Quadrant : BRICS @ Hainan

          Harold Lasky on the basis of the political attributes divides the society into four. If, the X axis shows a scale of pessimism to optimism, Y axis shows a scale of satisfaction to dissatisfaction, then the whole of the population gets divided into four;
1. PROGRESSIVE - Satisfied & Optimistic
2. CONSERVATIVE - Satisfied but Pessimistic
3. RADICALS - Optimistic but highly Dissatisfied
4. REACTIONARY - Pessimistic & highly Dissatisfied.

          The Quadrant classification which reminds the author of the school day Trigonometry classes (All Silver Tea Cups!!) can very well be extrapolated to the Indian foreign stand in the recent past. Many a times we have seen India taking all the stands except the progressive one. This notion was once again stamped in the recent BRICS summit on the southern island of Hainan in China.

          Inevitably, the BRICS ought to have discussed their relationships with the rest of the world. But, such summits' which eyes for sectoral cooperation; is by any margin a big surprise for the common man for the simple reason that these so called emerging powers are also the toppers in the world external debt charts and by no doubt has the US & Eurozone as the major consumers of the emerging market exports. And. here comes the economic dilemma; What will happen if the 'Protectionism' gains the momentum; in the event the BRICS may feel the heat in the western market.

          The hanging up of Doha issues certainly underlines the very notion that the developing nations are not being taken seriously till now in the World Economic Order. In this context the BRICS meet ought to have determined, how as a lobby, it could manoeuvre its members and the rest of the developing world into a multi-lateral trading system and a smoother financial order.

          In this situation, India had the golden opportunity to support ways of regulating the financial setup. The country could always boast of its success in staving off the worst effects of the Global financial meltdown and for the western countries now facing the hangover of the debt crisis. If India could have taken up the teacher's role then BRICS was a perfect classroom for the western economies. But ironically, the author feels that India once again felt the 'starting trouble'; thwarting the golden opportunity of moving up the spiral to the first quadrant, i.e, from the conservative, radical and reactionary stand to a Progressive one!!


Saturday, April 9, 2011

Can History be a Yardstick in Politics: Power Equation in Kerala


         "History does nothing, it possesses no wealth, it wages no battles. It is man, real, living man who does all that, who possesses and fights; 'history' is not as it were, a person apart, using man as a means to achieve its own aims; history is nothing but the activity of man pursuing his aims".......Marx, The Holy Family, Chapter 6 (1846). There is no better option than to quote Marx while initiating an analysis on Kerala politics.The result would have been predictable if the assembly elections in Kerala were held couple of months before. But, it would be a political blunder of the highest order, supporting the history of the Kerala politics or so called trend which has been generous enough to give alternate chances to both the coalition fronts one after another, which is perhaps clearly understood by UDF if not, the ruling front.

          State is witnessing a fierce political battle this time. The Congress is pulling out their finest strategies to rejuvenate the momentum which they had during the local body elections and previously in the Lok Sabha elections. While the moves of LDF reflects their intent to rewrite the history by getting back into power. In 2001 assembly elections, the UDF secured one of the finest victories by winning 99 seats in the 140 member assembly house. In 2006, the coin got flipped, it was the LDF's turn to return back to power by exactly the same margin. The trend was proved to be correct once again, when in 2009 Lok Sabha elections the UDF secured 16 out of 20 seats. This was further supported by the results of the Panchayat-Municipal elections in 2010 October in which UDF pulled out 60% of the total seats.

          UDF is moving ahead with the strategy of "Development" and has also listed out an action scheme for faster industrialization and employment generation (a joke in itself!!). But, the front is once again caught up in the old  dogma of seat sharing. With several LDF fractions shifting their allegiance and the unrest within the party, every alternate seat has become a point of discussion in the internal meetings. the bargain being mainly anchored by Kerala Congress (Mani). The 'staunch support' of ideologically bigger but numerically smaller allies like Janadhipatya Samrakshana Samiti (JSS), Janatha Dal (Democratic) again add on to the saga. But, there is no doubt that over the years the front has gained enough maturity in tackling the issue of seat sharing, there are much bigger concerns for UDF now. Sentencing the former UDF minister R. Balakrishna Pillai for one year rigorous imprisonment for corruption, has effectively pulled the mass support out of the UDF camp. Problems don't end there for UDF; the Kozhikode ice cream parlour scandal adds on to the adversities of the UDF campaign.

          The BJP with the intent to fight yet another time, in and around half a dozen seats will make it act as a perfect spoiler this time and may cause damages for both the left and the right (only if we don't see any last minute defection!!). But, the author sees a good chance of BJP pulling out more than 8% of votes this time.

          LDF started off again with its usual strategy of V. S Achuthanandan's candidature issue and is believing on repeating the same magic of previous assembly elections. The LDF will project the doubling of procurement price of paddy and revitalizing the PDS. Also the budgetary promise to deposit Rs 10,000/- in the name of every child born to BPL families and half that amount for APL children as education scholarship has been one of the innovative steps the state has seen in the recent past. But, the decision of not extending the retirement age of govt. employees , absence of collective responsibility and the repetition of the candidature issue of V.S may backfire the whole move.

          But the fact remains that the oppressed are allowed once every few years to decide which particular representatives of the oppressing class are to represent and repress them. LDF is still not able to maintain a good relationship with powerful denominations of Christaian and Muslim community. The whole election result may depend on the chemistry both the coalition has synthesized with the lion share of the Kerala population- the Middle class!! While Malampuzha , Puthupally and Pala will see one-sided elections, all eyes will be focused on Vengara, Kottayam legislative battles.

          While Marx was a perpetual antagonist of history and trends, his followers in Kerala at least join ideologically with Marx this time, if not others, that they will reverse the trend. As sun will shine in the morning of 13nth April, a lot of permutations and combinations carried out will also depend upon how many out of the 2.28 core voters will go and cast their votes ( Not to forget the inconveniences caused by the unscientific and irrational re-design of the constituencies). 

Monday, April 4, 2011

Cricket - A New Dimension of India Inc.

     It has been past 28years since the dome of horizon of cricket fever has arisen in our country. There is no denying the fact that cricket was a respectable sport well before the event of 1983 world cup. The world cup marked the institutionalization of cricket into a religion. TV sets got priority in the consumers list very soon and it hardly took any time across the nation, to get into every household. 
   
    The scenario strengthened time and again when over the years we came very closer to the worldcup. But, it was denied since 1983, the reasons being plenty; from terrific spells of Imran Khan to unexpected batting from Aravinda Desilva and from there the Australian army being the cynosure which took up the monopoly, when rest of the teams were demoted to meagre spectators. It took years to negotiate the Australian hegemony and finally we have the cup (whether original or duplicate doesn't matter!!).

     Viewing the big screen in a crowded Metropolitan Mall Gurgaon was really an electrifying  experience, thanks to Karthik, Loki and Ram . In fact, it was much superior than watching the same in any isolated living room.The Indian start was 'shaky' when we lost the top guns but the gut feeling of the author that it being 'Dhoni-day' proved out to be perfect ( Not to neglect, its the Dhoni's fav. team Srilanka on the other side!!). Dhoni has a rare combination of Intelligence & Luck in equal proprtions. The best point is that the whole script was written by the youg turks and not the senior veterans; a good sign for future cricket.
    
     The celebrations after the victory were simply awesome. People getting on top of trucks dancing, Indian flags all over, guys and girls dancing and enjoying the success; first in the lifetime of many.It was absolutely true that history lags behind the history makers.I have never seen India united to this extent, across the nation. Strambolian atmosphere across the country.

     Team India has shown that this is the change which we wish to see in ourselves.There are a lot of things which we can learn from this victory; a forward looking strategy, coherent ideology, a vision of future society. If we are able to stick to these, then there is no doubt that the entire universe will conspire to sail us through to our destinations, gradually reducing the gap between India and Bharat (Did somebody say Inclusive Growth!!).......Lets take it forward!!!